How To Handicap The Match

For the second time in only one week pro golfers will be teeing it up for Coronavirus relief, as Tiger Woods chases redemption against Phil Mickelson from their first 1 on 1 matchup, but this time he’s not alone. After what could only be described as a disappointing event in 2018, the higher-ups decided to get more stars involved as Peyton Manning teams with Woods to take on Mickelson and Tom Brady in a 2v2 match play event at Medalist Golf Club in Brady’s new home state of Florida. As with any modern sporting event, especially in these near sports-less times, people are looking to bet on it. Here’s how to win some money on Capital One’s The Match (and maybe even give your winnings to a good cause)

Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning to win The Match, -200

While this is an exhibition match for charity, anyone who knows about Tiger Woods knows that losing does not sit well with him, so whether he shows it or not he will be playing with extra motivation today. Since his loss to Mickelson it is an indisputable fact that Tiger has played better golf than his rival, racking up 2 wins, including his historic win at the 2019 Masters, and 7 top 10 finishes to Phil’s one win (2019 Pebble Beach Pro-Am) and 4 top 10s. Despite his struggles in his last few competitive outings, Woods has likely taken the time away from the Tour to rest up and heal his body, and should outplay Mickelson at his home club.

The match play format is being broken into two halves with the teams playing best ball, where the best score on each whole per team is used, on the front 9 and alternate shot, where the two players on each team share the same ball and take turns on each shot, on the final 9 holes so the two non-pros will likely be the X-Factor coming down the stretch.

Manning and Brady have jokingly taken shots at each other during the buildup to the event, with Brady saying Peyton may have the advantage due to playing more rounds while being a retiree. While the comment was made in jest, there is some truth to it, as Peyton does in fact play much more often, and is indeed better boasting a 6.4 handicap to Brady’s 8.1. While Medalist is Brady’s home course, his game falls off while playing at the difficult course where his handicap drops to an 11. Manning reportedly shot a +4 40 on the front nine at the course in the last week. With Manning having more experience and a better game than Brady, and being paired with the better golfer with home field advantage, it is hard not to see the value in this duo.

Hole One Winner: Tie, -130

Medalist ranks as one of the most difficult clubs in the United States, designed by legendary architect Pete Dye and 2-time major winner Greg Norman who once said of the course “We created a masterpiece, I can’t break 70 and you can’t break 80.” While the opening hole, a short Par 4, is one of the easiest on the course neither team can be too aggressive early, as the risk almost always outweighs the reward here and down 1 after one is a spot a golfer never wants to be in. With a hole as simple and short as this, I can’t see either team failing to match a score, and taking the safe bet of a tie, and the match being even headed to the second.

Will Tiger Woods Wear A Red Shirt? Yes, -350

This one is pretty simple, Tiger is known for his Sunday attire of a red shirt and black pants which is described as what he wears when hunting for blood. Not only does this event take place on a Sunday on a holiday weekend, but it is one of the few sporting events happening in America. Last week’s Driving Relief event drew 2.35 million viewers with much less star power. This event will be the country’s premier sporting attraction for the coming weeks, and its a safe bet Tiger will don his signature look to satisfy the audience.

Will Video of Charles Barkley’s Swing Be Shown? Yes, -1000

Charles Barkley is a notoriously terrible golfer, with an even worse swing. With Chuck, and professional golfer Justin Thomas, in the booth for the event it is nearly impossible we don’t see the man who tees it up with MJ take a hack on the broadcast. If your book does not carry this prop substitute it for “Will There Be A Hole In One, No” which should carry the same odds, and is an equal lock to hitting as Barkley’s swing making an appearance.

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